Quebec 2030 · Election tracker
Quebec's next election, tracked every day.
Polls, seats, riding map, promises, candidates and the dates that matter, from public sources only, reported the same way for every party.
Fixed election date
October 7, 2030. Quebec votes.
127 seats, 64 for a majority.
Where it stands
The race today
Vote intention, 2026
Every published poll
Dots are single polls among decided voters. Lines are the average of the three most recent polls at each date. One poll is one reading; the line is the better guide.
Electoral map
Riding by riding
All ridings on one map. Tap or hover one to see who holds it and who is running there.
Analysis
This week and today
Campaign promises
What the parties have committed to
Every public commitment a party or leader makes for the 2030 election, in plain words, with the date and source. Costs are shown only when the party gives one. We record promises; we don't rate them.
| Date | Party | Promise | Cost (party's figure) | Status |
|---|
Candidates
Who is running, riding by riding
Nominated candidates and people seeking a party's nomination, riding by riding, once nominations open. MNA marks a sitting member.
| Riding | Candidate | Party | Status |
|---|
Sources: party announcements, Élections Québec and news reports; see each row's link.
How we report it
Public sources only. No predictions or seat projections.
Promises are recorded, never rated. Every party gets the same columns, the same sources and the same corrections policy.
Calendar
Dates that matter
The house
Seats now and at the 2026 election
| Party | Leader | Now | 2026 | 2026 vote |
|---|
In the Oct. 5, 2026 general election, held on a new 127-seat map, the Parti Québécois won 59 seats (28.02% of the vote), the Quebec Liberal Party 40 (24.23%), the Conservative Party of Quebec 19 (20.66%) and Québec solidaire 9 (12.42%); the Coalition Avenir Québec, in government since 2018, won no seats (13.35%). Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is Premier-designate of a PQ minority government, to be sworn in Oct. 21; Christine Fréchette, who had succeeded François Legault as CAQ leader and Premier in April 2026, resigned as CAQ leader the day after the vote. These seat counts are from Élections Québec's tallies but are not yet final: Élections Québec will publish final official results only after judicial recounts (Vachon, Liberal lead of 10 votes; a PQ request is pending in Champlain), so the 2026 columns are unofficial until then. In 2022, on the old 125-seat map, the CAQ won 90 seats, the Liberals 21, QS 11, the PQ 3 and the Conservatives 0. Before dissolution the CAQ held 79 seats, Liberals 18, QS 11, PQ 7, Conservatives 1 and Independents 9.
How we build this
Public numbers, reported the same way for every party.
Every figure links to its source: Élections Québec, the Assemblée nationale du Québec (National Assembly of Québec), published polls and news reports. The poll average is a plain mean of polls whose fieldwork ended within 30 days of the newest poll, or the last three polls if fewer. We don't weight pollsters, project seats or endorse anyone.
Churchill Strategy is an Edmonton event production and campaign firm. We have worked with conservative parties in Alberta, Saskatchewan and federally, and with a campaign in Alberta's 2026 referendum. That is why we keep this page to sourced facts. See something wrong? Email winston.pon@churchillstrategy.ca and we'll correct it the same day.