Newfoundland and Labrador 2029 · Election tracker

Newfoundland and Labrador's next election, tracked every day.

Polls, seats, riding map, promises, candidates and the dates that matter, from public sources only, reported the same way for every party.

366 days to the next general election, Tuesday, October 9, 2029. Under s.3(2) of the House of Assembly Act, polling day is the second Tuesday in October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election (Oct 9, 2029); if that date overlaps a federal election the Premier may move it to the last Monday in November, and the Lieutenant-Governor can still dissolve the House early. The last general election was held Oct 14, 2025. Last updated

Where it stands

The race today

Vote intention, 2026

Every published poll

Dots are single polls among decided voters. Lines are the average of the three most recent polls at each date. One poll is one reading; the line is the better guide.

Electoral map

District by district

All districts on one map. Tap or hover one to see who holds it and who is running there.

Analysis

This week and today

Campaign promises

What the parties have committed to

Every public commitment a party or leader makes for the 2029 election, in plain words, with the date and source. Costs are shown only when the party gives one. We record promises; we don't rate them.

DatePartyPromiseCost (party's figure)Status

Candidates

Who is running, district by district

Nominated candidates and people seeking a party's nomination, district by district, once nominations open. MHA marks a sitting member.

DistrictCandidatePartyStatus

Sources: party announcements, Elections Newfoundland and Labrador and news reports; see each row's link.

Calendar

Dates that matter

    Turnover

    Not running again

    MHAPartyDistrict

    Source: announcements compiled from news reports.

    The house

    Seats now and at the 2025 election

    PartyLeaderNow20252025 vote

    The Progressive Conservatives under Tony Wakeham won 21 of 40 seats and 44.4% of the vote on Oct. 14, 2025, defeating John Hogan's Liberals (15 seats, 43.4%); the NDP won 2 seats and two Independents were elected. Wakeham was sworn in as premier on Oct. 29, 2025, and Independent MHA Paul Lane was elected Speaker. On Sept. 14, 2026, Lake Melville MHA Keith Russell left the PC caucus to sit as an Independent, leaving the PCs with 20 seats, one short of a numerical majority. The House voted 21-18 on Sept. 17, 2026 to move ahead with the Churchill Falls agreement with Hydro-Quebec.

    How we build this

    Public numbers, reported the same way for every party.

    Every figure links to its source: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador, the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador (51st General Assembly), published polls and news reports. The poll average is a plain mean of polls whose fieldwork ended within 30 days of the newest poll, or the last three polls if fewer. We don't weight pollsters, project seats or endorse anyone.

    Churchill Strategy is an Edmonton event production and campaign firm. We have worked with conservative parties in Alberta, Saskatchewan and federally, and with a campaign in Alberta's 2026 referendum. That is why we keep this page to sourced facts. See something wrong? Email winston.pon@churchillstrategy.ca and we'll correct it the same day.