New Brunswick 2028 · Election tracker
New Brunswick's next election, tracked every day.
Polls, seats, riding map, promises, candidates and the dates that matter, from public sources only, reported the same way for every party.
Fixed election date
October 16, 2028. New Brunswick votes.
49 seats, 25 for a majority.
Where it stands
The race today
Vote intention, 2026
Every published poll
Dots are single polls among decided voters. Lines are the average of the three most recent polls at each date. One poll is one reading; the line is the better guide.
Electoral map
Riding by riding
All ridings on one map. Tap or hover one to see who holds it and who is running there.
Analysis
This week and today
Campaign promises
What the parties have committed to
Every public commitment a party or leader makes for the 2028 election, in plain words, with the date and source. Costs are shown only when the party gives one. We record promises; we don't rate them.
| Date | Party | Promise | Cost (party's figure) | Status |
|---|
Candidates
Who is running, riding by riding
Nominated candidates and people seeking a party's nomination, riding by riding, once nominations open. MLA marks a sitting member.
| Riding | Candidate | Party | Status |
|---|
Sources: party announcements, Elections New Brunswick and news reports; see each row's link.
How we report it
Public sources only. No predictions or seat projections.
Promises are recorded, never rated. Every party gets the same columns, the same sources and the same corrections policy.
Calendar
Dates that matter
The house
Seats now and at the 2024 election
| Party | Leader | Now | 2024 | 2024 vote |
|---|
The New Brunswick Liberal Association under Susan Holt won a majority on Oct. 21, 2024, taking 31 of 49 seats with 48.2% of the vote, ending six years of Progressive Conservative government; the PCs won 16 seats and the Greens 2, and former premier Blaine Higgs lost his seat and resigned as PC leader. Glen Savoie led the PCs on an interim basis until Daniel Allain, who does not currently hold a seat, won the leadership on Oct. 17, 2026. PC MLA Mike Dawson resigned in March 2025 to run federally, and Kevin Russell held Miramichi West for the PCs in an Oct. 6, 2025 by-election. Green leader David Coon announced in June 2026 that he is stepping down, and the People's Alliance deregistered in June 2025.
How we build this
Public numbers, reported the same way for every party.
Every figure links to its source: Elections New Brunswick, the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick, published polls and news reports. The poll average is a plain mean of polls whose fieldwork ended within 30 days of the newest poll, or the last three polls if fewer. We don't weight pollsters, project seats or endorse anyone.
Churchill Strategy is an Edmonton event production and campaign firm. We have worked with conservative parties in Alberta, Saskatchewan and federally, and with a campaign in Alberta's 2026 referendum. That is why we keep this page to sourced facts. See something wrong? Email winston.pon@churchillstrategy.ca and we'll correct it the same day.