Alberta 2027 · Election tracker
Alberta's next election, tracked every day.
Polls, seats, the referendum count, the new map, promises, candidates and the dates that matter, from public sources only. Updated each morning; read the week's analysis below.
Where it stands
The race today
Vote intention, 2026
Every published poll
Dots are single polls among decided voters. Lines are the average of the three most recent polls at each date. One poll is one reading; the line is the better guide.
October 19, 2026
Referendum results
Ten questions, each on its own ballot, all counted by hand. Question 10 is counted first; Elections Alberta must post unofficial results within 48 hours of polls closing.
| Q | Question | Yes / Option 1 | No / Option 2 | Status |
|---|
Source: Elections Alberta. For Question 10, Option 1 is remain and Option 2 is begin the legal process toward a binding referendum on separation.
Analysis
This week and today
Campaign promises
What the parties have committed to
Every public commitment a party or leader makes for the 2027 election, in plain words, with the date and source. Costs are shown only when the party gives one. We record promises; we don't rate them.
| Date | Party | Promise | Cost (party's figure) | Status |
|---|
Candidates
Who is running, riding by riding
Nominated candidates and people seeking a party's nomination, listed by the current 87 ridings. The list moves to the new 91-seat map once the Legislature passes it. MLA marks a sitting member.
| Riding | Candidate | Party | Status |
|---|
Sources: party announcements, Elections Alberta and news reports; see each row's link.
Calendar
Dates that matter
The house
Seats now and at the 2023 election
| Party | Leader | Now | 2023 | 2023 vote |
|---|
Changes since 2023 include the NDP's Calgary-Shaw by-election gain (Sept 14, 2026) and Peter Guthrie's move to the Progressive Tory Party.
How we build this
Public numbers, reported the same way for every party.
Every figure links to its source: Elections Alberta, the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, published polls and news reports. The poll average is a plain mean of polls whose fieldwork ended within 30 days of the newest poll, or the last three polls if fewer. We don't weight pollsters, project seats or endorse anyone.
Churchill Strategy is an Edmonton event production and campaign firm. We have worked with conservative parties in Alberta, Saskatchewan and federally, and with a campaign in the 2026 referendum. That is why we keep this page to sourced facts. See something wrong? Email winston.pon@churchillstrategy.ca and we'll correct it the same day.